Una propuesta metodológica para elicitar el vector de parámetros π de la distribución Multinomial

Andrés Felipe Flórez Rivera, Juan Carlos Correa Morales

Resumen


Cuando no existe información previa o es muy costosa obtenerla, las distribuciones a priori informativas brindan una opción práctica y “económica” que sirven de base para el inicio de un proyecto o un estudio en particular. En este trabajo presentamos una propuesta metodológica para llevar a cabo un proceso de elicitación que permite extraer el conocimiento de un experto e incorporarlo como una distribución a priori del vector de parámetros  de la distribución Multinomial. Aquí  presentamos la metodología propuesta acompañada de una ilustración y finalizamos con algunas conclusiones y recomendaciones.


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Referencias


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.15332/s2027-3355.2015.0001.05

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ISSN: 2027-3355 - e-ISSN: 2339-3076 - DOI: https://doi.org/10.15332/s2027-3355