Una propuesta metodológica para elicitar el vector de parámetros π de la distribución Multinomial
A methodological proposal to elicit the vector of parameters π of the multinomial distribution
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Resumen (es)
Cuando no existe información previa o es muy costosa obtenerla, las distribuciones a priori informativas brindan una opción práctica y “económica” que sirven de base para el inicio de un proyecto o un estudio en particular. En este trabajo presentamos una propuesta metodológica para llevar a cabo un proceso de elicitación que permite extraer el conocimiento de un experto e incorporarlo como una distribución a priori del vector de parámetros de la distribución Multinomial. Aquí presentamos la metodología propuesta acompañada de una ilustración y finalizamos con algunas conclusiones y recomendaciones.
Resumen (en)
When there is no preliminary information or is too costly to obtain it, the informative priors provide a practical option and “ economic ” that serving as a basis for initiating a project or a particular study. In this paper we present a methodology for carrying out elicitation process that allow derives from an expert knowledge and incorporate it as a prior distribution of the parameter vector π of the Multinomial distribution. The proposed methodology accompanied by an application and end with some conclusions and recommendations.
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