Memoria larga en el número de horas de vuelo de aeronave de inteligencia militar de la Fuerza Aérea Colombiana
Abstract (en)
Actualmente, el Departamento de Planeación y Estadística de la Fuerza Aérea
Colombiana (FAC) planifica el número mensual de horas de vuelo que tendrá cada
una de sus aeronaves mediante el promedio de las horas que estuvieron estos
equipos en el aire en el trimestre inmediatamente anterior. Debido a la inexactitud
de los pronósticos actuales se presentan una serie de complicaciones a la hora
de ejecutar el presupuesto requerido pues generalmente resulta insuficiente. En el
presente trabajo se identifica un modelo ARFIMA(p,d,q) que permite pronosticar
adecuadamente las horas de vuelo de la aeronave B-350 de la Fuerza Aérea Colombiana y que puede ser empleado por el alto mando militar para tomar decisiones administrativas acertadas en la planeación y uso mensual de esta aeronave.
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