Published
2013-12-09

En defensa de la racionalidad bayesiana: a propósito de Mario Bunge y su “Filosofía para médicos”

In defense of bayesian rationality: about Mario Bunge and his “Philosophy for physicians”

DOI: https://doi.org/10.15332/s2027-3355.2013.0002.06
Luis Carlos Silva
Escuela Nacional de Salud Pública
PDF (Spanish) BibTex (Spanish)

Abstract (en)

General judgments on the probability theory and its application on the field of health are critically assessed in the book Philosophy for physicians, by the Argentinean physicist and epistemologist Mario Bunge. The work contains several inaccuracies and mistakes in this subject, which are analyzed in this article. When handling concepts of Bayesian inference, particularly in relation to the application of Bayes’ theorem, the book includes errors and fallacies that are also discussed and illustrated in detail.

Abstract (es)

Se valoran críticamente los juicios generales que se hacen sobre la teoría de probabilidades y su aplicación en el campo de la salud en el libro “Filosofía para médicos”, del físico y epistemólogo argentino Mario Bunge. La obra contiene varias imprecisiones e yerros en esta materia, los cuales son objeto de análisis en el presente artículo. Al manejar los conceptos propios de la inferencia bayesiana, en particular en relación con la aplicación del teorema de Bayes, el libro incluye errores y falacias que se también se discuten e ilustran pormenorizadamente.
Luis Carlos Silva, Escuela Nacional de Salud Pública
Investigador titular

References

Bunge, M. (2003), Cápsulas, Gedisa, Barcelona.

Cornfield, G. (1962), ‘Joint dependence of risk of coronary heart disease on serum cholesterol and systolic bold pressure: A discriminant function analysis’, Federation Proceedings 21(4), 58–61.

Garicano, L. (2012), Son las matemáticas, estúpido. El País (España), noviembre 13.

Garthwaite, P., Kadane, J. & O’Hagan, A. (2005), ‘Statistical methods for eliciting probability distributions’, Journal of the American Statisticians Associaton 100, 680–701.

Good, I. J. (1979), ‘Studies in the history of probability and statistics. XXXVII A. M. Turing’s statistical work in the World War II’, Biometrika 66(2), 393–396.

Ioannidis, J. (2005), ‘Why most published research findings are false?’, PLoS Medicine 2(8), e124. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0020124.

Lord, F. M. (1953), ‘On the statistical treatment of football numbers.’ American Psychologist 8, 750–751.

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How to Cite

Silva, L. C. (2013). In defense of bayesian rationality: about Mario Bunge and his “Philosophy for physicians”. Comunicaciones En Estadística, 6(2), 197-212. https://doi.org/10.15332/s2027-3355.2013.0002.06

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