Los puntos de inflexión de la evolución económica De los países sudamericanos
The Turning Points of the Economic Development in the South American Countries
Abstract (en)
The study assesses the stability of the global economy and the economies of the countries of South America. In order to identify the turning points of economic development it is used theory of catastrophes - variance of the rate of economic growth. The turning points of global economic development, the economies of Brazil, Venezuela, Colombia and Chile are determined. It is ascertained that the economies of Brazil, Venezuela, Colombia and Chile has been developing very quickly in recent years. The pace of economic growth of these countries exceeds the growth rate of the world economy. Growth rates of the economy of Chile, Colombia, Venezuela come to 4, 5 - 5,5 %, Brazilian – come to 3 %. The most steadily developing is the economy of Colombia, less steadily developing is the economy of Brazil. The development of the economy of Chile is even less stable. Venezuela's economy develops the least stable. These countries in South America might be promising business and trading partners. Taking into account growth rates of economy, degree of stability of growth, economy scales, Colombia and Brazil have the best prospects, Chile and Venezuela are a little less perspective.Abstract (es)
El estudio evalúa la estabilidad de la economía mundial y las economías de los países de América del Sur. La finalidad es identificar los puntos de inflexión del desarrollo económico que se utiliza en la teoría de las catástrofes - varianza de la tasa de creci- miento económico. En los puntos de inflexión del desarrollo económico global, se de- terminan las economías de Brasil, Venezuela, Colombia y Chile. Se comprobó que las economías de dichos países han venido desarrollándose muy rápidamente en los últimos años. El ritmo de crecimiento económico de estos países supera la tasa de crecimiento de la economía mundial. Las tasas de crecimiento de la economía de Chile, Colombia, y Venezuela ascienden al 4,5 y 5,5 % y Brasil crece al 3 %. El desarrollo de la mayor parte de manera constante es la economía de Colombia, menos desarrollo constante que la economía de Brasil. El desarrollo de la economía de Chile es mucho menos estable. La economía de Venezuela se desarrolla la menos estable. Estos países de América del Sur podrían ser prometedores socios de negocios y comerciales. Teniendo en cuenta las tasas de crecimiento de la economía, el grado de estabilidad del crecimiento y las escalas de la economía, Colombia y Brasil tienen las mejores perspectivas, Chile y Venezuela tienen menores perspectivas.
References
Pritchett L. (2000). Understanding Patterns of Economic Growth // The World Bank Economic Review. Vol. 14. No. 2. pp. 221-250.
Poston T., Stewart I. (2012). Catastrophe Theory and Its Applications. Dover Publications.
Basovskaya E.N., Basovskiy L.E. (2013). The turning points of the economic development of the modern Russian economy // Economics. Moscow: INFRA-M. V. 1. I. 1. pp. 4-9. DOI: 10.12737/430.
Basovskiy L.E. (2013). Rotary points of world economic development // Eco-nomics. Moscow: INFRA-M. V. 1. I. 3. pp. 9-14. DOI: 10.12737/686
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